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2009-04-10

How The Big Fund Make Money

This few day, KLCI is bound up since beginning of UNMO election. I had records some of the activity in off market trade along this election till now and I found out that now the KLCI is been push out to earn money and at the same time reduce share in hand by all the big fund.

Here are a simple example:

1 Day before market start
Big Fund A sales 10 lot unit share to Fund B with a price RM 0.39 in off market trand. This day the share price close at RM0.40 at market price.

Day the market start
Fund B sale out all the 10K lot in open market with price average RM0.43.
Big Fund A buy back from market 70% of all share sale by Fund B and 30% share had sold to retail trander ( this group is using hard earn money to invest )
By end of the day the share price had push to close at RM 0.43 with 7.5% jump up.

Money Earn by Fund B:-
Total share buy:- 10 lot unit share x RM0.39 = RM3,900
Total share sale:- 10 lot unit share x RM0.43 = RM4,300
Total Earn = RM400
Share in hand = 0

Money Earn by Big Fund A:-
Total share sale:- 10 lot unit share x RM0.39 = RM3,900
Total share buy:- 7 lot unit share x RM0.43 = RM3,010
Total Earn = RM890
Share in hand = 7,000 unit ( with value = RM 3,010 )

So in this case both Fund A and B had earn money and Big Fund A have use 30% of the share in hand to push the price to RM 0.43. 30% of the share had past to retail hand and this will keep going till the % of retail buyer drop to less that 15%

When this happen, the process will turn another way round to drop the price with all the bad news they have. So this Big Fund will buy back from retail trander with lower price.

This is how the big fund make money from your hard earn money.

6 comments:

Elvis2020 April 10, 2009 at 2:57 PM  

Hahaha...keep up the good analysis bro. This is a good one from you. At last someone 'crack' the code..

Elvis2020 April 10, 2009 at 3:14 PM  

I advise players to sideline by end of next week. There's still plenty of bad news yet to be unveiled(but fundamental things are turning do). Example, KNM not even 0.48, sure can drop lower than the previous low. I have played this stock many times so do durian. WATCH YOUR MONEY DUDES!!

East Point Trading April 10, 2009 at 4:10 PM  

Hahaha.... Elvis2020 you are right the example is KNM.

Now is the time to sales out the share when bad news come buy again.

Elvis2020 April 10, 2009 at 4:28 PM  

Congrats to you my friend! You have gone to the next level of investing. You 'thesis' sure grade 'A'. Yup, i completely agree with your assessment of off market transaction. I was a dealer once so when goreng time many off market transaction going on. Honestly i could crack the game. You made is clearer. I learn something useful today. Thanks, Durian.

Elvis2020 April 10, 2009 at 10:34 PM  

TAKEN FROM BUSINESS TIMES: THE rally that pushed Malaysia’s key stock index to a six-month high may last another two months and push the gauge past the 1,000 level for the first time since October, Maybank Investment Bank Bhd. said.

The index is “tracing out a five-legged upward rebound move of the larger scale fourth leg” from a low of 801.27, Lee Cheng Hooi, an analyst at Maybank, said in a report today. “We expect a minimum rise towards 954.19 and 1,008.25 on this Wave 4C move towards its Fibonacci retracement levels.”

The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index rose 2.5 per cent in the past five days to 930.27, the fourth weekly gain, set to cap the longest winning streak since January 11, 2008. Stocks were buoyed by a smooth leadership transition when Datuk Seri Najib Razak became Prime Minister last week. Yesterday, he announced his new Cabinet as he seeks to resurrect support for the ruling coalition.

Maybank raised its technical view to a medium-term “trading buy” from “neutral,” saying political uncertainty has been removed. The index is poised to “punch above” the 936.63 level and gear up for a “slightly longer rebound rally,” Lee added.

While the trading patterns show signs of a “new bull-trend,” it may also lead to a “bull-trap,” he said.

“Enjoy this rally for now but be ready to take most of your money off the table swiftly if we sight foreign funds leaving the country,” Lee said. If the ringgit weakens, “then foreigners are leaving the country.”

Fibonacci analysts use a system pioneered by 13th century mathematician Leonardo Pisano, who discerned ratios from proportions found in nature. The analysis is based on the theory that prices rise or fall by certain percentages after reaching a high or low. Passage through one level is a sign an index will keep moving to the next. - Bloomberg

Elvis2020 April 11, 2009 at 12:38 PM  

I dont know when but its coming BUT ITS COMING. BEWARE DUDES! BULL TRAP!If you buy next week, i salute you, most stocks at 6 months high. Once kana trap, you wait lor, longest another 6 months to cash out. Next week is for sell ONLY. This is my 2 cents worth opinion...

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My investment with RM5,000 initial capital have been growing since 2005.I found the stock market appears confusing and complicated, but it is most definitely based on logic "supply and demand". However, the laws of supply and demand as observed in the markets do not behave as one would expect. To be an effective trader, there is a great need to understand how supply and demand can be interpreted under different market conditions and how to take advantage of this Off Market Transactions in KLSE.

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